ACE E-Mini S&P - February 26, 2020

Below is an illustration trading futures options on E-Mini S&P.  Our post shows bullish and bearish positions using a combination of call and put options.


Trade Options on Futures

E-Mini S&P * Directional & Neutral Positions

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Calendar Spreads.small

 

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Volatility

optV vol

Notes:

Contract Size - $50 x S&P 500 Index.

Tick Size:  Outright: 0.25 index points=$12.50

Trading Hours: CME Globex: Sunday - Friday 6:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time (ET) with  trading halt 4:15 p.m. - 4:30 p.m.

* Tip: Understanding what the numbers mean when looking at E-Mini S&P prices. The quotation you see is U.S. dollars and cents per 0.25 tick. Each contract you are buying or selling is is index price x 50.  A 1 tick move is $12.50. Notional value of 2,432 = $121,600 USD.

?ml=1" class="modal_link" data-modal-class-name="no_title">* Tip: Click here to read a helpful tip about E-Mini S&P futures and options


E-Mini S&P

Below are charts for reference.  

es 02 26 20

* Tip: To view a larger chart image, simply right click on the image with your mouse. Next, select view image. Be sure to click the back arrow on your browser to go back to the original page.

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Strategies

The % yield shown in the diagram below represent an estimated return on margin from projected dates shown.

Futures Prices

cme prices

Options

With free fall on the E-Mini S&P from speculation on economic impact from the Corona virus large volume traded on the following options

Mar 3360 calls
Mar 3400 calls
Feb 3200 puts
Feb 3050 puts

Below is an illustration on inexpensive ES March 3400 call options trading like a cheap lottery ticket to the upside.  It's modeled a week out from now to March 3rd with the purple horizontal line illustrating a 1 standard deviation (+/- 68% range) and blue at 2 standard deviations (+/- 95% range). 

es 3400 call t6

Beneath shows a probability calculator to keep things in perspective.

probability calculator

By contrast on the downside, below is the 3050 put

3050puts

Below is calendar put spread. The position would benefit from a continuing rise in implied volatility should the market continue selling off.  It would lose if the market suddenly rallied with drop in implied volatility.

calput

Below is Put Butterfly modeled with a 2 point drop in implied volatility should the market begin to rally a bit.

Put Fly rev

Below is an illustration of adjusting to the upside.

condor adjust

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